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This indicator is the most accurate Indicator I've seen in my entire life When it comes to predicting bitcoin's Price because we used this indicator and We did the math and we did the equations And it predicted the 2021 bull market by $1,000 and now we're using this Indicator today to determine where is Bitcoin going to head in 2024 and 2025 And historical study predicting 164k but There is a catch on this one and then I'm going to give you my short-term Price prediction for Bitcoin as well and We're jumping in trade actually so this Is an interesting forecast on bitcoin Based on a detailed examination of the Price trajectory over the past bull Cycles if you don't know what a Bitcoin Bull cycle is Bitcoin has fouryear Cycles and the reason we have a fouryear Cycle is the Bitcoin having event occurs Every four years when the reward for Mining mining Bitcoin is cut in half and Then during this four-year cycle you Typically see a boom about 12 months Before the having event and then it Continues until 12 months sometimes 18 Months after the fact and I think we're Going to basically follow this pattern Cuz Bitcoin has continuously followed This 4-year pattern and so we're using This four-year pattern to look at the Peak periods of Bitcoin now 2011 a Little bit of a outlier there because it
Was so new but 2013 and 2017 and then They do the math for 2021 and we're Going to continue this 4year cycle to 2025 and wait till you see this bitcoin Price Target it is insane now in this Analysis they noticed they are decaying Hang Peaks when it comes to bitcoin's Returns cuz they progressively get lower Each successive Bull Run and so now They're aiming to delineate the pattern That could suggest the future price Movements now we're not going to get Into the math uh shout out to Ben Cowen You know uh maybe we'll look at it a Little bit but in this study we're Looking at the same numbers and they Applied the model to the 2021 bull Market and then in the cycle Peak they Predicted it was going to hit $65,000 Now they're using weekly candles that Was within $1,000 of the Bitcoin top there again We're looking at weekly closes so very Very accurate and so when they ran the Numbers it basically perfectly predicted Now we're going to zoom in on this a Little bit here this is uh the chart That they're pointing out and I want to Give a big shout out to the analyst that Discovered this smitston wi and he has a PHD in engineering so we're not talking About some slouch we're talking about a Smart analytical mind here and he Studied the decay peaks of the Bitcoin
Price residuals from each cycle and they Did an exponential decay fit meaning you Know it was shrinking each subsequent Cycle now the results are striking it Predicted 65k when the peak was 64 only A difference of $11,000 and so they use That to predict the 2021 we just looked At that now this is the math if you Really wanted to get into it all you Nerds out there hit the like button if You like the math here but let's zoom in And see where are we going in 2024 so Someone asked them you know macron not b TC he actually has a dad joke for you Where does the FED store their US Dollars in the basement all right macro Now that was actually kind of a good one What is the 2024 2025 price prediction And so we're clicking on it right here Now this is where we're expecting to Come out in this cycle but what part of 2024 2025 is Bitcoin going to hit its Cycle top well to do that let's look at The previous Cycles these are the Bitcoin See the rest of the cycle you'll notice Something pretty interesting with the Bitcoin Cycles they kind of top out at a Very very similar rate there 532 days And we look at this cycle right here We're going to get something very very Similar there 553 days so you know you Can notice that there's a lot of Correlation on when this is going to tap
Out so let's uh you know I think I'm a Ford here a week so we'll do about 520 And if you look down there on the bottom It comes up to the end of September and So let me just spell some out 2017 December was the top 2021 November was The top and I think 2025 October being The top is just too easily to predict And so I think Traders will front run The October top and then Bitcoin will Actually top out in September of 2025 And so let's go back to this chart and Then kind of determine where September 2025 is September is going to be the end Of Q3 and you can see you know Q3 Q4 Starts here right at this line and look At that number for bitcoin's Price now If we follow follow this band The Bare Case for Bitcoin this cycle is $193,000 the bull case $278,000 where do I think it's going to Go I think it might hit the low twos but I wouldn't be surprised if we can't Quite get above 2K there now I do feel You know maybe 160 140 could potentially Be the top but I love this prediction of 193 but I also said I will tell you Where bitcoin's going in the short term Now when we pull up the 4H hour chart Here you can see this symmetrical Triangle that is forming and then this Is essentially telling us Bitcoin must Choose a direction the longer it goes And the closer it gets to the tip of
This the stronger the move is going to Be to the upside or to the downside Think of a coiled spring uh if you press It down a little bit and it pops out Goes a little bit if you get it all the Way down and then it pops out boing that Thing is going to hit somebody in the Eye and you might take an eye out there We don't want to do that and so you see We're testing the bottom right now and So we have actually opened a trade I was Going to open a short if we hit the top And I was going to open a long if we hit The bottom and you can see right here we Just literally opened this trade this is The 4H hour candles that we're looking At here let's click on the five minute And you can see Bitcoin just got Massively oversold in a short amount of Time hitting that range that we were Looking at and right now we're we're Briefly in profit we're in profit you Know pennies right now so it's a very Very small trade mostly just to test my Theory Dey puts his money where his Mouth is so hit that like button if you Like me going into these trades and Actually putting some conviction in my Price prediction that rhyme so not only Am I bullish in the short term Dez is Bullish in the long term as well that is Why we're opening this trade but back to The fouryear cycle here I just want to Give a parting warning here don't get
Impatient in the market right now you Can see previous Cycles we did have to Wait a ways you know before we got Positive price action if we just go here Let's actually go on The Daily so we can Get a little bit more of an accurate Reading it took a while for Bitcoin to Finally wake up and you know it Slumber And then it finally started to get Bullish you could say it started to get Bullish 200 days later or you could be You know maybe a little conservative 160 Days later or so that's when Bitcoin Started appreciating price and we saw Something similar to the cycle before That in fact after the having it was Kind of bearish at the moments there uh And it took a significant amount of time For that to have a nice run there 109 Days some might even say it took about 160 days so if we were to measure 160 Days from the having you can see we're Getting very very close to the exciting Times in Bitcoin so now is not the time To get shaken out of the markets we Might trade sideways for a while but I Think there is going to be a big move I Wouldn't be surprised if we have a sharp Move to the downside before we just melt Faces and then have these giant giant Runs cuz remember $193,000 is the be case $278,000 is the bull case and then this Indicator is basically one of the most
Accurate indicators I've ever seen in my Life the 164k that's by the end of this Year that means if we top out soon in a Matter of months we still have a very Bullish price target for Bitcoin there So do not sleep on this historical Indicator has been very very accurate in The past I think it's going to be very Accurate this cycle as well hit that Like button on the way out and I'll see You in your diamond handed Bitcoin at The top
